US stocks fell from record highs on Friday as Wall Street digested an update on consumer inflation that showed prices firming higher above the Fed’s target in July.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell nearly 0.5%, and the S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell about 0.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the retreat, down 1%.
A key Fed-watched measure of inflation rose as expected in July, new government data showed Friday. The “core” Personal Consumption Expenditures index, closely studied by the central bank, rose 0.3% on a monthly basis and 2.9% on an annual basis, above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Both numbers matched economist expectations, though the annual pace marked the biggest rise since February.
The Fed-favored data comes after signs of a resilient economy helped lift the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) to new all-time highs on Thursday.
Bets that the Fed will ease rates at its September meeting were still riding high Friday, and traders were pricing in an 87% chance of a quarter-point cut following the PCE reading.
Expectations for a rate cut have risen since Chair Jerome Powell opened the door during his policy speech in Jackson Hole last week. And on Thursday, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he wants to cut rates in September and “fully expects” more cuts in the months that follow amid cracks in the labor market.
The inflation data caps a whirlwind week for markets gripped by Nvidia (NVDA) earnings and President Trump’s effort to oust its governor Lisa Cook, which took a new turn. On Friday, a judge is expected to rule on a bid from Cook for a temporary restraining order.
Despite the pullback in stocks Friday, the major indexes were all set for their longest streak of consecutive monthly gains in more than a year.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was set to see a 2% bump in August, marking its fifth straight monthly rise, the longest winning streak in nearly a year and a half. For their part, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the Dow (^DJI) were set for their fourth consecutive month of gains, on track to add 1.6% and 2%, respectively — the longest since September 2024.
And the Russell 2000 (^RUT), which includes small market capitalization companies, eyed a 6% jump for August, set for its fourth monthly uptick, the longest streak in over four years.
Markets are closed Monday for the Labor Day holiday.
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